Puerto Cabello vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
9º
7º
21
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 3
APC
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
APC
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
APC
1 - 1
POR
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
58%
22%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CFC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ZAM
0 - 2
CAR
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |