Puerto Cabello vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
APC
2 - 1
YAR
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 1
APC
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
APC
0 - 1
UCV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
APC
1 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
GVA
0 - 3
APC
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
YAR
1 - 0
ARR
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GVA
2 - 2
ARR
51%
21%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
VEN
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
UCV
5 - 0
ARR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +2 |