Academia Mascherano vs Colonial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
55%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Mascherano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
AJM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AJM
0 - 2
RIV
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
AJM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colonial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
COL
2 - 1
RIV
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
LIN
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 2
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
MAM
12%
25%
63%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | 0 |