Murcia Promises U19 vs Lorca CFB U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+72%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
3º
11º
3º
63
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
63 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 46 |
9º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
86% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murcia Promises U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
EFT
1 - 2
ACA
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ACR
0 - 2
ACA
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
RAN
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACA
0 - 1
CFC
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
REA
0 - 1
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca CFB U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
CIE
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 4
LOR
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
UCA
29%
23%
49%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
LOR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 0
MUR
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |