Acacia Ridge vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
74%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acacia Ridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SPR
3 - 0
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 4
NEW
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 1
STO
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
7 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
MGH
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 1
WES
84%
10%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
RED
1 - 2
UNI
40%
21%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
BRK
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |