Acacia Ridge vs Centenary Stormers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acacia Ridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 1
ACA
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 1
WES
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ACA
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 2
BAY
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MGH
3 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
ALB
7%
13%
80%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
TLA
1 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
WES
62%
18%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BAY
18%
19%
63%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
MGH
40%
22%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |