Vert-Pré vs Samaritaine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AVP
2 - 2
AIG
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CLU
1 - 0
AVP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVP
0 - 0
GOL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
ESS
2 - 0
AVP
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
AVP
1 - 1
EMU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAS
2 - 0
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
EMU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RCR
2 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
CLU
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
AIG
2 - 2
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |