Sangiovannese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VIN
0 - 1
ACS
38%
27%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 0
VFC
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 0
SAC
36%
26%
38%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASG
2 - 0
ACS
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACS
0 - 2
NOC
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 1
ASG
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 0
ITA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASL
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ASL
4 - 1
VIN
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |