Sangiovannese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
26.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAS
3 - 3
ACS
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 0
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SAS
0 - 1
ACS
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 2
CTT
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 2
ACS
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
50%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
PIS
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
VNZ
3 - 1
ASL
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ASL
5 - 2
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |