Sangiovannese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SAS
3 - 0
ACS
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 1
PIS
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MAS
0 - 0
ACS
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 0
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2006 |
CRO
4 - 2
BRE
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 2
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
CRO
3 - 1
USC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
CRO
4 - 2
TRI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |