Sangiovannese vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
USC
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 2
ACS
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 1
ACS
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 2
ACS
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
CRO
4 - 1
SAL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
PES
1 - 4
CRO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 0
PIA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
VNZ
0 - 0
CRO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
TRE
2 - 2
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |