AC Sambonifacese vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FSD
2 - 3
ACS
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 1
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +3 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
OLB
0 - 1
ACS
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
LEO
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PAV
1 - 1
PER
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PER
0 - 2
USI
25%
26%
49%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PER
0 - 2
VAR
28%
27%
44%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 0
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |