Prato vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GIU
0 - 1
ACP
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACP
2 - 1
ROV
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ACG
2 - 1
ACP
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACP
2 - 0
BV5
31%
28%
41%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ASC
1 - 2
ACP
43%
27%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
USP
1 - 1
VFC
60%
22%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
USP
2 - 1
ASC
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCC
3 - 0
USP
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACG
1 - 2
USP
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USP
2 - 1
ROV
54%
24%
23%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |