Prato vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
SSB
22%
28%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 1
ACP
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRO
3 - 2
ACP
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
ACP
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 2
TRI
33%
29%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BV5
0 - 1
VIR
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
CAS
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
SSB
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |