Prato vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
RIM
0 - 1
ACP
31%
28%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 0
PIS
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TER
3 - 2
ACP
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACP
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PON
0 - 0
PIS
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
SIE
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
PON
1 - 1
ARZ
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |