Prato vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PRG
0 - 0
ACP
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 1
PAG
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 0
ACP
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 0
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PON
2 - 2
PIS
24%
26%
49%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 0
PON
72%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 0
PON
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
SAL
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |