Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LRO
1 - 2
ACP
26%
27%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
SIE
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIS
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACP
29%
28%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SIE
2 - 1
ASL
72%
19%
9%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 2
ASL
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ASL
1 - 1
SPA
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |