Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
56.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 0
ACG
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
USP
0 - 2
ACP
21%
25%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ACP
3 - 2
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 1
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 1
ASL
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 1
BV5
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ASL
2 - 0
VFC
80%
14%
6%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |