Prato vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
ACP
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
USP
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
VIN
3 - 0
ACP
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
ACS
51%
26%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
GAV
3 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 2
GAV
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 0
GAV
28%
25%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
USP
3 - 1
GAV
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |