Prato vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACP
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 2
ARZ
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACP
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CTT
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
ABN
33%
28%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TRE
3 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PIS
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 3
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |