Pavia vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 1
COM
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PAV
72%
18%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIS
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 1
PAV
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
2 - 0
TRI
68%
22%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
SOR
14%
24%
62%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
FOL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 1
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |