Pavia vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
PAV
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 0
ARZ
57%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
PAV
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 0
PAV
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BV5
0 - 0
SAS
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
SAS
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 0
NOV
8%
19%
73%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |