Pavia vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PAV
1 - 3
ARZ
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAV
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
RIM
37%
28%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
SAS
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 0
SAS
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
ACP
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 0
SAS
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |