Pavia vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
60%
22%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAV
3 - 1
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAV
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
ACL
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CES
2 - 1
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
PIS
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 3
ASL
51%
27%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 2
PIS
42%
27%
30%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 0
ACP
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |