Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FCS
0 - 0
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 1
VNZ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
REN
0 - 1
PAV
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
4 - 1
USC
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAV
3 - 0
GER
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2014 |
COM
1 - 3
USC
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARZ
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
BV5
1 - 0
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |