Pavia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
PAV
54%
25%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 0
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 1
PAV
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PAV
0 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACL
2 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COM
0 - 2
FER
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
LEC
2 - 0
COM
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
REG
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 2
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
COM
4 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |