Pavia vs OltrepòVoghera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FER
1 - 3
PAV
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 1
POR
46%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
PAV
27%
28%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAV
2 - 0
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAV
23%
27%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
OltrepòVoghera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GOZ
2 - 4
ASD
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASD
41%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
ASD
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |