Pavia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CUN
2 - 3
PAV
16%
26%
58%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
PAV
4 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 1
FCS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USC
1 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAV
69%
21%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CTT
1 - 1
PIA
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
REN
0 - 0
CTT
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
CUN
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
CTT
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
TER
0 - 2
CTT
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |