Pavia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
RAV
0 - 0
CTT
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CTT
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |