Pavia vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
PAV
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
PAV
2 - 1
ABN
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
NOV
4 - 0
PAV
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
PAV
25%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PAV
3 - 1
FER
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 0
POR
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BV5
2 - 1
ARZ
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
ABN
0 - 0
ARZ
70%
18%
11%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
25%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GER
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |