AC Paranavaí vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 4
LON
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 0
ACP
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 3
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
CIA
66%
20%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
42%
25%
32%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
JMA
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |