AC Paranavaí vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
38.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
COT
4 - 1
ACP
86%
10%
3%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ACP
1 - 0
JMA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ACP
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 2
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
OPE
44%
25%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
COT
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
JMA
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 4
OPE
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
COT
12%
21%
68%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |