AC Paranavaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 1
ACP
72%
17%
10%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 3
RIO
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LON
3 - 1
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
3 - 4
ACP
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
OPE
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LON
0 - 1
COT
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
ATP
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 7
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
TCW
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |