AC Paranavaí vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
OPE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
5 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COT
5 - 1
IRA
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
COT
2 - 0
JMA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 2
COT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |