AC Monza U18 vs Genoa U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
53.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
17º
12º
56
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
36%
22%
43%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ASR
2 - 2
ACM
73%
14%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
14%
16%
71%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
EMP
4 - 2
ACM
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 3
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
4 - 2
ASR
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
GEN
20%
20%
60%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 0
MIL
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
GEN
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |