AC Monza U18 vs Cagliari U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
9º
17º
12º
24
10º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ASR
2 - 2
ACM
73%
14%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
14%
16%
71%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +3 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
EMP
4 - 2
ACM
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 3
CES
28%
21%
52%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ACM
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 4
CAG
35%
22%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 0
MIL
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAG
32%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 3
GEN
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |