AC Monza vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
BV5
0 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PER
2 - 0
ASS
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CUN
2 - 3
ASS
48%
27%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 0
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
REG
0 - 2
ACD
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ACD
0 - 0
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 2
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 1
PAV
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |