AC Monza vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 0
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
PER
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACL
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ACD
3 - 1
ACR
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
VAO
1 - 1
ACD
15%
22%
63%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ACD
1 - 1
LAV
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SET
2 - 1
ACD
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |