AC Monza vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
PES
54%
28%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
38%
34%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASS
44%
32%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ASS
2 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TER
1 - 0
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
PES
2 - 1
TER
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
TER
0 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 0
TER
47%
29%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
TER
4 - 1
GEN
42%
32%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |