AC Monza vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
48%
31%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 0
ASS
38%
35%
27%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 0
RIM
66%
23%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
ASS
44%
32%
24%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
UDI
38%
32%
30%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
RIM
1 - 0
SSS
49%
31%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
CAG
38%
33%
29%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SSS
2 - 2
SAM
45%
31%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |