AC Monza vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 1
ASS
17%
24%
60%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 1
CUN
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
USC
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ASS
5 - 0
VIN
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PER
0 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ASD
2 - 2
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
PER
1 - 0
RIM
45%
26%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PER
0 - 1
DEL
47%
25%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |