AC Monza vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
PIZ
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 1
ASS
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ASS
0 - 0
NOV
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
55%
25%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 2
SAS
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 0
USP
67%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
VIN
0 - 0
PAG
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
PAG
3 - 2
BSL
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |