AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 72 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 1
OLG
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
REN
2 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 1
NOV
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
NOV
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
47%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |