AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 1
CTT
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ASS
3 - 0
SSS
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 3
ASS
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACL
44%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIZ
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 2
NOV
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |