AC Monza vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
36.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASS
58%
27%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASS
2 - 1
VNZ
33%
30%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ASS
2 - 0
COS
33%
32%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
CES
1 - 0
ASS
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
51%
27%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
46%
30%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
BAR
39%
30%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |