AC Monza vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
67.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 1
GIU
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
23%
28%
50%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIZ
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 0
REN
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 38 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 4
LAZ
25%
27%
49%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LAZ
1 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 1
LAZ
66%
20%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |