AC Monza vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 1
ASS
11%
21%
67%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
DAR
0 - 0
ASS
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
TOR
5%
14%
81%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
GRU
53%
23%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GRU
3 - 0
DAR
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
GRU
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 0
DCA
54%
22%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 3
GRU
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |