AC Monza vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASS
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
0 - 0
PIS
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
CAT
3 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1952 |
GEN
0 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
FAN
2 - 0
GEN
57%
22%
22%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
PIS
1 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
GEN
1 - 0
ROM
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |