AC Monza vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 2
SAN
83%
12%
6%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
5 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
REN
85%
12%
4%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 1
PIA
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ASS
4 - 0
LUG
88%
10%
2%
|
78 | 36 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FRO
3 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 2
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
FRO
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FRO
4 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |