AC Monza vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 0
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 3
ASS
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ABN
3 - 0
ASS
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
1 - 3
SSS
25%
26%
48%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ASS
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
IMO
23%
30%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TRI
3 - 0
FER
63%
24%
13%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
FER
0 - 0
TER
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |